For the poor people of the Middle East, the Tribulation has certainly already begun. The same is true for many other areas of the world. For us here in the affluent West, we haven't really been shook yet. I dont think we will believe in its occurring until it hits a big Western country - i mean **REALLY** - hits somewhere. Not a bomb. Not a flood. Something sent from God. A proper not man-made-bring-life-to-a-standstill thingy. Sure, Australia had/has its fires, but life there goes on, i mean.. they still had their new years eve fireworks. So while its awful, its terrible - the events there haven't brought life for the entirety of that country to a halt. It hasn't altered life irreparably. Until that happens to one of the big, industrial Western countries, we really wont believe it is here, or that it has started.